Saturday, April 21, 2007

A big weekend for elections

It's a big weekend for elections, with Nigeria at the polls now and France voting tomorrow. In Nigeria, I would predict a ruling-party win, violence, and denunciations by the opposition--in other words, I am taking the easy guess. In France, I predict that despite all the talk of Bayrou or Le Pen possibly spoiling, that Royal and Sarkozy will go to the second round; however, I think that Royal will be substantially closer to Sarkozy than the polls have stated, and that both will be around 22-23 percent with Bayrou and Le Pen no more than 4 points behind.

In other election news, Manitoba Premier Gary Doer has called elections for May 22.

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